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  Previous issue (2018. Vol. 10, no. 4)

Psychological-Educational Studies

Former Title: Psychological Science and Education psyedu.ru

Publisher: Moscow State University of Psychology and Education

ISSN (online): 2587-6139

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.17759/psyedu

License: CC BY-NC 4.0

Started in 2009

Published quarterly

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Supporting making management decisions through the use of mathematical modeling

Kovtunovich M.G., Ph.D., The dean of State and Municipal managemnet department, Moscow State University of Psychology and Education; Leading research associate, Moscow State University of Psychology and Education; Doctorate student, Psychological Institute of the Russian Academy of Education, Moscow, Russia
Kolpakov V.F., dean, chair of theory and practice of management, department of public and municipal management, Moscow State University of Psychology and Education, v.kolpakov53@mail.ru
Kuvanov V.V., student, chair of theory and practice of management, department of public and municipal management, Moscow State University of Psychology and Education, kyvanov@mail.ru
Abstract
The contribution examines the questions of using mathematical modeling in making management decisions. The aim of the research was to develop the basics of information support of making management decisions through the use of mathematical modeling. Indices which are informational modules of decision making support were identified. The state of the environment was taken as the subject of the research. Basing on statistical data on forest fires in Russia, a model of time series was developed. Point and interval predictions of the number of forest fires were received through the use of this model. A method of using mathematical models for performing information support of decision making is presented.

Keywords: models, management activity, management decision making process, mathematical modeling, scientific worldview

Column: Interdisciplinary Researches

For Reference

References
  1. Kovtunovich M.G. Issledovaniya N.A. Menchinskoi po formirovaniyu nauchnogo mirovozzreniya v kontekste sovremennoi kognitivnoi psihologii // Voprosy psihologii. 2005. № 3.
  2. Kornilova T.V. Psihologiya riska i prinyatiya reshenii. M., 2003.
  3. Praktikum po ekonometrike v srede Excel / Sost. V.F. Kolpakov, V.P.Har'kov, S.M. Kasterskii. M., 2010.
  4. Petrov K.P. Dostatochno obshaya teoriya upravleniya. SPb., 2003.
  5. Stepanosova O.V. Intuitivnye komponenty v processe prinyatiya reshenii: Avtoref. dis. … kand. psihol. nauk. M, 2004.
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