The Legitimization of Terrorism in Adolescence and Youth: from Radicalisation Mechanisms to Risk Assessment Model

98

Abstract

The demands of practice for the development of radicalisation risk assessment tools are still ahead of the capabilities of psychological science. An analysis of radicalisation risk assessment models used predominantly in the penitentiary systems of several countries suggests that these tools are controversial, hence the need for further theoretical reflection and experimental testing. The aim of the theoretical and analytical study outlined here is to formulate the key components of a model for assessing the risk of radicalisation in adolescent and young adult environments. Critical analysis of risk assessment models and social psychological theories of radicalisation allowed to demonstrate the advantages of M. Hogg’s uncertainty-identity theory in comparison with other explanatory concepts. Following the ideas of the uncertainty-identity theory several hypotheses were proposed in order to assess the radicalisation risk among adolescents and young people.

General Information

Keywords: radicalisation, terrorism, mechanisms of radicalisation, feeling of uncertainty, social identity, risk assessment

Journal rubric: Methodological Problems of Legal Psychology

Article type: scientific article

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17759/psylaw.2022120412

Funding. The work was performed as a part of the research project “Assessment of the radicalisation risk among young people” (State assignment of the Ministry of Education of the Russian Federation, no. 073-00110-22-02 dated 08.04.2022).

Received: 06.09.2022

Accepted:

For citation: Dvoryanchikov N.V., Bovin B.G., Melnikova D.V., Lavreshkin N.V., Bovina I.B. The Legitimization of Terrorism in Adolescence and Youth: from Radicalisation Mechanisms to Risk Assessment Model [Elektronnyi resurs]. Psikhologiya i pravo = Psychology and Law, 2022. Vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 154–170. DOI: 10.17759/psylaw.2022120412. (In Russ., аbstr. in Engl.)

References

  1. Bovin B. G., Kazberov P. N., Bovina I. B. Vovlechennost’ v terroristicheskuyu deyatel’nost’ v Rossii i mire: ot psikhologicheskikh k sotsial’no-psikhologicheskim faktoram [Involvement in terrorist activities in Russia and in the world: from psychological to social-psychological factors] [Elektronnyi resurs]. Vestnik Rossiiskogo universiteta druzhby narodov. Seriya: Psikhologiya i pedagogika = RUDN Journal of Psychology and Pedagogics, Vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 227–246. doi:10.22363/2313-1683-2020-17-2-227-246 (In Russ.).
  2. Bovin B.G., Moskvitina M.M., Bovina I.B. Radikalizatsiya zhenshchin: ob”yasnitel’nyi potentsial sotsial’no-psikhologicheskogo znaniya [Radicalization of women: an explicative potential of social psychological knowledge] [Elektronnyi resurs]. Sovremennaya zarubezhnaya psikhologiya = Journal of Modern Foreign Psychology, 2020. Vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 97–107. doi:10.17759/jmfp.2020090309 (In Russ.).
  3. Bovina I.B., Bovin B.G., Tikhonova A.D. Radikalizatsiya: sotsial’no-psikhologicheskii vzglyad (Chast’ I) [Radicalisation: A Social Psychological Perspective (Part I)] [Elektronnyi resurs]. Psikhologiya i pravo = Psychology and Law, 2020. Vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 120–142. doi:10.17759/psylaw.2020100309. (In Russ.).
  4. Baudrillard J. Dukh terrorizma. Voiny v Zalive ne bylo. [Spirit of terrorism. The Gulf War Did Not Take Place]. Moscow: Ripol-Klassik, 2017. 226 p. (In Russ.).
  5. Blanchard A.L., Caudill L.E., Walker L.S. Developing an entitativity measure and distinguishing it from antecedents and outcomes within online and face-to-face groups. Group Processes & Intergroup Relations, 2020. Vol. 23, pp. 91–108. doi:10.1177/1368430217743577
  6. Brugh C.S., Desmarais S.L., Simons-Rudolph J., Zottola S.A. Gender in the jihad: Characteristics and outcomes among women and men involved in jihadism-inspired terrorism. Journal of Threat Assessment and Management, 2019. Vol. 6, pp. 76–92. doi:10.1037/tam0000123
  7. Campbell D. Common Fate, Similarity, and Other Indices of the Status of Aggregates of Persons as Social Entities. Behavioral Science, 1958. Vol. 3, pp. 14–25.
  8. Cronin A.K. Behind the curve. Globalization and international terrorism. International Security, 2002/2003. Vol. 27, pp. 30–58. doi:10.1162/01622880260553624
  9. Doise W., Valentim J.P. Levels of analysis in social psychology. In J. D. Wright (ed.). International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences. Oxford: Elsevier, 2015. P. 899–903.
  10. Doosje B., Loseman A., Van den Bos K. Determinants of Radicalisation of Islamic Youth in the Netherlands: Personal Uncertainty, Perceived Injustice, and Perceived Group Threat. Journal of Social Issues, 2013. Vol. 69, no. 3, pp. 586–604. doi:1111/josi.12030
  11. Fowler J.C. Suicide risk assessment in clinical practice: pragmatic guidelines for imperfect assessments. Psychotherapy, 2012. Vol. 49, no. 1, pp. 81–90. doi:10.1037/a0026148
  12. Gelfand M.J., LaFree G., Fahey S., Feinberg E. Culture and Extremism. Journal of Social Issues, 2013. Vol. 69, no. 3, pp. 495–517. doi:10.1111/josi.12026
  13. Gill P., Clemmow C., Hetzel F., Rottweiler B., Salman N., Van Der Vegt I., Marchment Z., Schumann S., Zolghadriha S., Schulten N., Taylor H., Corner E. Systematic Review of Mental Health Problems and Violent Extremism. The Journal of Forensic Psychiatry & Psychology, 2020. Vol. 32, pp. 51–78. doi: 10.1080/14789949.2020.1820067
  14. Global Terrorism database [Elektronnyi resurs]. National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism an Emeritus Center of Excellence of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. University of Maryland. 2022. URL: https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/search/Results. aspx?search=&sa.x=54&sa.y=3 (Accessed 26.06.2022).
  15. Goldman L., Hogg M.A. Going to extremes for one’s group: the role of prototypicality and group acceptance. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 2016. Vol. 46, no. 9, pp. 544–553. doi:10.1111/jasp.12382
  16. Haslam C., Jetten J., Cruwys T., Dingle G., Haslam S.A. The new psychology of health. London: Routledge, 2018. 490 p.
  17. Herrington V., Roberts K. Risk assessment in counterterrorism. In U. Kumar, M.K. Mandal (eds.). Countering terrorism: Psychosocial strategies. London, United Kingdom: Sage, 2012, pp. 282–305.
  18. Hogg M.A. Self-uncertainty, social identity and the solace of extremism. In M.A. Hogg, D.L. Blaylock (eds.). Extremism and psychology of uncertainty. Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell, 2012, pp. 19–35.
  19. Hogg M. A. Uncertainty-identity theory. In M.P. Zanna (ed.). Advances in experimental social psychology. San Diego, CA: Academic Press, 2007. Vol. 39, pp. 69–126.
  20. Hogg M.A. Uncertainty-identity theory. In P.A.M. Van Lange, A.W. Kruglanski, E.T. Higgins (eds.). Handbook of theories of social psychology. Sage Publications Ltd, 2012, pp. 62–80. doi:4135/9781446249222.n29
  21. Hogg M., Kruglanski A., K.Van den Bos. Uncertainty and the Roots of Extremism. Journal of Social Issues, 2013. Vol. 69, no. 3, pp. 407–418. doi:10.1111/josi.12021
  22. Hogg M.A., Meehan C., Farquharson J. The solace of radicalism: Self-uncertainty and group identification in the face of threat. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, Vol. 46, no. 6, pp. 1061–1066. doi:10.1016/j.jesp.2010.05.005
  23. King M., Taylor D.M. The Radicalization of Homegrown Jihadists: A Review of Theoretical Models and Social Psychological Evidence. Terrorism and Political Violence, 2011. Vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 602–622. doi:10.1080/09546553.2011.587064
  24. Kruglanski A., Fishman S. Psychological Factors in Terrorism and Counterterrorism: Individual, Group, and Organizational Levels of Analysis. Social Issues and Policy Review, 2009. Vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 1–44. doi:10.1111/j.1751-2409.2009.01009.x
  25. Lickel B., Hamilton D.L., Sherman S.J. Elements of a Lay Theory of Groups: Types of Groups, Relational Styles, and the Perception of Group Entitativity. Personality and Social Psychology Review, 2001.Vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 129–140. doi:10.1207/ S15327957PSPR0502_4
  26. Lloyd M. Extremist risk assessment: A directory. Actors and Narratives. Full report, 2019. [Elektronnyi resurs]. Centre for Research and Evidence on Security Threats (CREST). URL: https://crestresearch.ac.uk/resources/extremism-risk-assessment-directory/ (Accessed: 26.06.2022).
  27. Merari A., Diamant I., Bibi A., Broshi Y., Zakin G. Personality Characteristics of “Self Martyrs” / “Suicide Bombers” and Organizers of Suicide Attacks’. Terrorism and Political Violence, 2010. Vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 87–101. doi:10.1080/09546550903409312
  28. Pfundmair M., Aßmann E., Kiver B., Penzkofer M., Scheuermeyer A., Sust L., Schmidt H. Pathways toward Jihadism in Western Europe: An Empirical Exploration of a comprehensive Model of Terrorist Radicalization. Terrorism and Political Violence, 2019. Vol.34, no. 1, pp. 48–70. doi:10.1080/09546553.2019.1663828
  29. Risk assessment in prison. European Commission. 2021 [Elektronnyi resurs]. Migration and Home Affairs. URL: https://home-affairs.ec.europa.eu/system/files/202104/ran_cons_overv_ pap_risk_assessment_in_prison_20210210_en.pdf (Accessed 26.06.2022).
  30. Sarma K.M. Risk assessment and the prevention of radicalization from nonviolence into terrorism. American Psychologist, 2017. Vol. 72, no. 3, pp. 278–288. doi:10.1037/amp0000121
  31. Silke A. The study of terrorism and counterterrorism. In A. Silke (ed.). Routledge Handbook of terrorism and counterterrorism. New York: Routledge, 2019, pp. 1–10.
  32. Tajfel H. Social psychology of intergroup relations. Annual Review of Psychology, 1982. Vol. 33, no. 1, pp. 1–39. doi:10.1146/annurev.ps.33.020182.000245
  33. Trimbur M. Les terroristes et personnes radicalisées ont-ils des troubles mentaux ? Une revue systématique de la littérature. Thèse pour le diplôme d’Etat de docteur en médecine. Lille: Université de Lille, 2019. 141 p.
  34. van Stekelenburg J., Oegema D., Klandermans P. G. No radicalization without identification: How ethnic Dutch and Dutch Muslim web forums radicalize over time. In A. Azzi, X. Chryssochoou, B. Klandermans, B. Simon (eds.). Identity and Participation in Culturally Diverse Societies. A Multidisciplinary Perspective. Blackwell Wiley, 2010, pp. 256–274.
  35. Wieviorka M. From the “classic” terrorism of the 1970s to contemporary “global” terrorism. In D. Jodelet, J. Vala, E. Drozda-Senkowska (eds.). Societies under threat. Cham: Springer, 2020, pp.75–85.

Information About the Authors

Nikolay V. Dvoryanchikov, PhD in Psychology, Docent, Dean, Faculty of Legal and Forensic Psychology, Moscow State University of Psychology & Education, Moscow, Russia, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1462-5469, e-mail: dvorian@gmail.com

Boris G. Bovin, PhD in Psychology, Docent, Leading Researcher, Federal State Institution Research Institute of the Federal Penitentiary Service of Russia, Moscow, Russia, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9255-7372, e-mail: bovinbg@yandex.ru

Darya V. Melnikova, Lecturer, Department of Clinical and Forensic Psychology, Faculty of Legal Psychology, Moscow State University of Psychology & Education, Moscow, Russia, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4501-8207, e-mail: melnikovadv@mgppu.ru

Nikita V. Lavreshkin, Psychologist, deviantologist, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5556-2057, e-mail: lavreshkinnv@gmail.com

Inna B. Bovina, Doctor of Psychology, Research Director, Associate Professor, Department of Clinical and Legal Psychology, Moscow State University of Psychology & Education, Moscow, Russia, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9497-6199, e-mail: innabovina@yandex.ru

Metrics

Views

Total: 383
Previous month: 58
Current month: 25

Downloads

Total: 98
Previous month: 3
Current month: 2