On Solving the Problem of Estimating the Probability of Fulfilling the Developed Plan

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Abstract

The issues of assessing the probability of the implementation of the developed enterprise activity plan are considered. The use of a constructive simulation method is proposed, which provides the possibility of developing software complexes for automatic development of plans with a full set of estimates of their characteristic indicators, including the probability of the plan implementation, on a single methodological basis.

General Information

Keywords: plan, constructive process, model, simulation, efficiency, probability

Journal rubric: Data Analysis

Article type: scientific article

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2022120102

Received: 10.01.2022

Accepted:

For citation: Voronov M.V. On Solving the Problem of Estimating the Probability of Fulfilling the Developed Plan. Modelirovanie i analiz dannikh = Modelling and Data Analysis, 2022. Vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 16–26. DOI: 10.17759/mda.2022120102. (In Russ., аbstr. in Engl.)

References

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Information About the Authors

Mikhail V. Voronov, Doctor of Engineering, Professor, Head of the Department of Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Information Technology, Moscow State University of Psychology & Education, Leading researcher at the Laboratory of Computer Textbooks, Faculty of Further Education, Moscow State University. Lomonosov, Moscow, Russia, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7839-6250, e-mail: mironovov@yandex.ru

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