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Modelling and Data Analysis
2022. Vol. 12, no. 1, 16–26
https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2022120102
ISSN: 2219-3758 / 2311-9454 (online)

On Solving the Problem of Estimating the Probability of Fulfilling the Developed Plan

 
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Abstract

The issues of assessing the probability of the implementation of the developed enterprise activity plan are considered. The use of a constructive simulation method is proposed, which provides the possibility of developing software complexes for automatic development of plans with a full set of estimates of their characteristic indicators, including the probability of the plan implementation, on a single methodological basis.

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Keywords: plan, constructive process, model, simulation, efficiency, probability

Journal rubric: Data Analysis

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OpenAlex trends: Economic and Technological Systems Analysis, Economic and Technological Developments in Russia, Engineering Education and Technology

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Economic and Technological Systems Analysis

This cluster of papers covers a wide range of topics related to digital transformation, innovation management, and the integration of information technologies in various domains. It includes research on quality management, cyber-physical systems, big data, sustainability, neural networks, environmental safety, and project management.

Number of works: 36814  |  Total number of citations: 64075

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Economic and Technological Developments in Russia

This cluster of papers covers a wide range of topics related to economic development, innovation, climate change, global economy, digital transformation, sustainable development, knowledge clusters, regional development, and macroeconomic assessment. The focus is on understanding and addressing the challenges and opportunities in the global economic landscape, with specific emphasis on the socio-economic development and policies in Russia.

Number of works: 86421  |  Total number of citations: 127399

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Engineering Education and Technology

This cluster of papers explores the concept of Smart University within the context of Digital Ecosystems, focusing on topics such as Internet of Things, Artificial Intelligence, cognitive modeling, educational technology, innovation management, predictive maintenance, knowledge management, and industrial control systems. The papers discuss the principles and semantics of digital ecosystems, machine learning algorithms for smart data analysis, ontology of smart classrooms, mobile social networking for smart campuses, and the development and evaluation models for smart universities.

Number of works: 12917  |  Total number of citations: 36014

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Article type: scientific article

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2022120102

Received 10.01.2022

Accepted

Published

For citation: Voronov, M.V. (2022). On Solving the Problem of Estimating the Probability of Fulfilling the Developed Plan. Modelling and Data Analysis, 12(1), 16–26. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2022120102

© Voronov M.V., 2022

License: CC BY-NC 4.0

References

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  3. Aladko A.V., Voronov M.V. Model' operativnogo planirovaniya deyatel'nosti predpriyatiya. Modelirovanie i analiz dannykh. 2016. – №1. P 37-47.
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  5. Sklemin, A. A., Kushnikov V. A. Analiz vypolnimosti planov meropriyatii pri upravlenii promyshlennym predpriyatiem.. Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnykh zavedenii. Povolzhskii region. Tekhnicheskie nauki. 2012. № 4 (24). P. 18-28.
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  8. Matematicheskaya entsiklopediya t.2 – M.: Sovetskaya entsiklopediya, 1979.
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Information About the Authors

Mikhail V. Voronov, Doctor of Engineering, Professor, Head of the Department of Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Information Technology, Moscow State University of psychology and education, Leading researcher at the Laboratory of Computer Textbooks, Faculty of Further Education, Moscow State University. Lomonosov, Moscow, Russian Federation, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7839-6250, e-mail: mironovov@yandex.ru

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