Solving the logistics problem in a quantile formulation with a limitation on the delivery time

 
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Abstract

Context and relevance. The article discusses the quantile statement of the logistics problem with a limitation on the task execution time. The problems of transport logistics have long been well studied in deterministic formulation, however, taking into account the probabilistic limitation on the time of delivery of cargo, the problem translates into the class of stochastic optimization problems and requires the development of special solution methods. Objective. For the company, it is necessary to transport the same type of cargo from several warehouses to the final consumers. The delivery time for each consumer is limited. It is required to minimize the costs associated with the delivery of goods, taking into account the fact that the travel time from each warehouse to each end consumer is stochastic. A number of vehicles are assigned to each warehouse. All vehicles are of the same type and within the framework of the task they carry out only one delivery from the warehouse to one consumer. Hypothesis. To solve the problem, the development of a special solution algorithm is required, since the use of algorithms for solving deterministic optimization problems run into difficulties associated with a large dimension of an equivalent deterministic problem. Methods and materials. The problem is formulated in terms of stochastic linear programming with a quantile criterion and an optimization strategy in the form of a matrix of Boolean variables. The confidence level reflects the likelihood of meeting a joint time limit on the delivery of goods to each of the consumers. To solve the problem, an effective solution algorithm is proposed. Results. The results of the numerical experiment are given, reflecting the effectiveness of the algorithm. Conclusions. The shown results show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm in comparison with standard deterministic optimization algorithms used to solve the equivalent deterministic problem given in the work.

General Information

Keywords: logistics problem, stochastic linear programming, quantile criterion

Journal rubric: Optimization Methods

OpenAlex citations: 0

OpenAlex trends: Optimization and Packing Problems, Vehicle Routing Optimization Methods, Optimization and Mathematical Programming

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Number of citations: 0

Topics

Optimization and Packing Problems

This cluster of papers focuses on the optimization of cutting and packing problems, including knapsack problems, bin packing, heuristic and metaheuristic algorithms, three-dimensional packing, rectangular packing, genetic algorithms, and strip packing. The research explores various approaches to efficiently utilize space and resources for packing objects into containers or arranging them for optimal use.

Number of works: 24488  |  Total number of citations: 327411

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Vehicle Routing Optimization Methods

This cluster of papers focuses on the Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) and its variants, including topics such as heuristic algorithms, tabu search, dynamic programming, metaheuristics, time windows, large-scale optimization, green logistics, multi-depot routing, and hybrid algorithms. The research covers a wide range of optimization techniques and applications in transportation and logistics.

Number of works: 50837  |  Total number of citations: 876359

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Optimization and Mathematical Programming

This cluster of papers focuses on the optimization of multi-objective transportation problems, particularly in the context of supply chain management and aggregate production planning. It explores the application of fuzzy goal programming, genetic algorithms, and metaheuristic approaches to address challenges such as fixed charge transportation, sustainable development, and uncertainty in decision-making. The research also delves into techniques like linear fractional programming and intuitionistic fuzzy logic to enhance the efficiency and robustness of transportation problem solutions.

Number of works: 27140  |  Total number of citations: 415259

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Work details in OpenAlex

Article type: scientific article

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2026160105

Received 29.01.2026

Revised 15.02.2026

Accepted

Published

For citation: Naumov, A.V. (2026). Solving the logistics problem in a quantile formulation with a limitation on the delivery time. Modelling and Data Analysis, 16(1), 74–86. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17759/mda.2026160105

© Naumov A.V., 2026

License: CC BY-NC 4.0

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Information About the Authors

Andrey V. Naumov, Doctor of Physics and Matematics, associate professor, Professor, Chair of Probability Theory and Computer Modeling, Moscow Aviation Institute (National Research University), Moscow, Russian Federation, ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3631-6168, e-mail: naumovav@mail.ru

Conflict of interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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