Supporting making management decisions through the use of mathematical modeling

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Abstract

The contribution examines the questions of using mathematical modeling in making management decisions. The aim of the research was to develop the basics of information support of making management decisions through the use of mathematical modeling. Indices which are informational modules of decision making support were identified. The state of the environment was taken as the subject of the research. Basing on statistical data on forest fires in Russia, a model of time series was developed. Point and interval predictions of the number of forest fires were received through the use of this model. A method of using mathematical models for performing information support of decision making is presented.

General Information

Keywords: models, management activity, management decision making process, mathematical modeling, scientific worldview

Journal rubric: Interdisciplinary Researches

Article type: scientific article

For citation: Kovtunovich M.G., Kolpakov V.F., Kuvanov V.V. Supporting making management decisions through the use of mathematical modeling [Elektronnyi resurs]. Psikhologicheskaya nauka i obrazovanie psyedu.ru [Psychological Science and Education psyedu.ru], 2012. Vol. 4, no. 1 (In Russ., аbstr. in Engl.)

References

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  4. Petrov K.P. Dostatochno obshaya teoriya upravleniya. SPb., 2003.
  5. Stepanosova O.V. Intuitivnye komponenty v processe prinyatiya reshenii: Avtoref. dis. … kand. psihol. nauk. M, 2004.

Information About the Authors

M. G. Kovtunovich, PhD in Education, The dean of State and Municipal managemnet department, ;Leading research associate, Moscow State University of psychology and education (MSUPE), Doctorate student, Psychological Institute of the Russian Academy of Education, Moscow, Russia, e-mail: marinakovt@mail.ru

V. F. Kolpakov, PhD in Engineering, dean, chair of theory and practice of management, department of public and municipal management, Moscow State University of Psychology and Education, Moscow, Russia, e-mail: v.kolpakov53@mail.ru

V. V. Kuvanov, student, chair of theory and practice of management, department of public and municipal management, Moscow State University of Psychology and Education, Moscow, Russia, e-mail: vit-kyvanov@mail.ru

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